Odds are, you're too late.......

Status
Not open for further replies.

buck460XVR

Member
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
10,049
I'm sitting here reading all these new threads about where to find components, suppliers raising prices and empty shelves. I just can't help but shake my head. Ain't trying to be a jerk, but if you didn't learn anything from the last coupla shortages, shame on you. If you are not desperate for components, yet running out and getting all you can find, you are the problem. If you are new to reloading, live and learn. If you are new to reloading, you probably are not going to be as heavily affected by this temporary, yet another scenario contributed to unfounded panic, situation. Like with toilet paper, be patient. There is more out there. As for those who did learn and have plenty, again, like toilet paper, consider helping out those with need.
 
A day late and many dollars short!

I like the web pages I get telling us what essential items to stock up on for a pandemic?? :uhoh:
 
I just can't help but shake my head. Ain't trying to be a jerk, but if you didn't learn anything from the last coupla shortages, shame on you.

Me too. Then someone pointed out to me that some of the folks could be new and ignorant of what history has taught us. So, I’ll cut the new guys and gals some slack but if you have been around the firearms scene for even 4 years, you should know better. 7 years, shame on you. Since 1994, you deserve to go without. :)

I figure people are stocking up on toilet paper now because they still haven’t used any of the stuff they hoarded after Obama’s re-election / Sandyhook and they have only been paying interest on the maxed out credit card they used back then, so TP is all they can afford to hoard this time around...
 
I'm good!

Seeing as the Governor shut down the State to all nonessential business and movement there will be no foreseeable trip to the range so that will save much ammo right there. I have enough loaded ammunition to start and sustain small war and enough reloading components to more than double my already made stash.
 
Yeah, anyone who jumped in around 2015 and after is in for a lesson if they blew off the advice of those who have been at it a while saying to buy in bulk and plan two years out. They will learn patience, whether they want to or not.
 
my parents lived thru the great depression and instilled in all us kids the need to be rainy day people, and i have always kept a good supply of all the goods that were needed for every day life(ammo included,a reloader since 1958). its easy to do, just rotate your stock, use the older in front and add the new to the rear.
 
Bullets and brass won't be so hard, primers and powder will be, if we end up where it looks like we are going.
 
I learned from living in earthquake country how to stay prepared. For my emergency supplies (food, water, essentials and reloading components), I bought a little at a time. When I went to a store that sold components, I'd buy an extra brick of primers or 22s and maybe a pound of powder. I built up supplies slowly over a period of time and my home had a stash, my boat (a 30' sailboat in the marina) had two weeks supplies, and I had plenty of reloading components. I survived the last three panics because I had enough and I didn't rush out and join the panic, buying everything in sight. Maybe that Boy Scout stuff I learned in the early '60s helped...

I agree with Buck that the panic buying we see ("I gotta get mine before someone else gets it all") just makes the problem worse. Someone, somewhere screamed "we're gonna run out of TP, I gotta get mine before that happens!" and now the TP shelves are bare. I'm sure the psychiatrists have a name for the selfishness, but it makes me sick, kinda like the "Black Friday" crowd morons...
 
Last edited:
Me too. Then someone pointed out to me that some of the folks could be new and ignorant of what history has taught us. So, I’ll cut the new guys and gals some slack but if you have been around the firearms scene for even 4 years, you should know better. 7 years, shame on you.

This is what my OP was all about. Even newbies, completely new to firearms within the last two years, unless they've had their head under a rock, should know the volatility of the ammo/reloading market. One could not be a member of a gun forum for a week without reading a thread about the past shortages and the odds are anything could make it happen again. Hard for me to believe that some guy/gal, that just went out and bought their first firearm last week, has the need for 10,000 rounds of ammo. Kinda like never riding a motorcycle, buying a new Harley and then immediately riding to the tip of South America. I'm not saying folks, even newbies, don't have the right/privilege to own all the ammo they can realistically afford. I'm just saying, if it ain't there at the last minute when you go looking, like the title of this thread, Odds are, you're too late.....

A few weeks back, our Card Club went out for Fish Fry. One of my friends there asked if I could polish some .22 ammo for him. Seems he bought 4 bricks of .22 LR when he found it during the last shortage. He had put it in his garage in the plastic bag he carried it out of the store with. Seems between the plastic bag and the humidity in his garage for two years or so, it had badly corroded. Said if it couldn't be saved, it was no big deal, since he had forgotten about it since the shortage and he never shoots .22 anyway. He didn't buy it 'cause he needed it, he bought it because everyone else was. He's a nice guy and a dear friend, but this is the exact same mindset I see here so commonly. While common, it's not really common sense.
 
The sad or troubling part of ammo buying/hoarding is that many buy it just to resell at a profit. Call it scalping or whatever you want.
Now is that greed or just American marketing?
 
The sad or troubling part of ammo buying/hoarding is that many buy it just to resell at a profit. Call it scalping or whatever you want.
Now is that greed or just American marketing?

When it comes down to essential items like medicine, food or other staples during a major crisis, it is greed. In this scenario, I believe it is just a case of what the market will bear. The whole idea behind our capitalistic society is making a profit. Back in the early 2000s, when Harleys were in big demand and supplies low, folks paid above and beyond MSRP for bikes. While folks whined about it and claimed the dealers were greedy, no body actually needed a Harley to live or to stay healthy. So shame on those that paid the premium price. So can be said for ARs when the scare of them being banned came about. Nobody needed them, but everyone wanted one only because they thought it might be their last chance at one. Nowadays I know of folks that still have them unfired in the original box, and won't sell them because they can't get anything close to what they paid for them. Now, the BS about selling Insulin and EpiPens at ridiculously high prices, is greed.
 
Selfishness in the highest degree. I'm always amazed how some drivers on the road act as if nobody is sharing the planet with them. No empathy or care for anyone else. This is the same thing. They will get theirs eventually....probably here, but if not here in the next life. Happy eternity in a dark place.....joy.

As for ammo buying/hoarding......I've just ignored it. Won't pay a penny more than it's worth......period. I still don't have an apocalypse hoard, never will. Besides, I can see that backfiring in such a time......they won't break in and steal what you don't have......besides how many people are you going to kill to preserve it? Saving a stash to kill your own cow or game in such a time? How long will game last in such a time.....a week? and when the power goes out? you are going to find an ice cave? It's just ridiculous.

One last thought: Why is this happening?.....the flu kills more every damned year than this virus and the world didn't come to an end....think about it, look at the numbers. Election year panic is what I see.

When this particular panic is over, put a little storable food back every week.....don't think you can stock up one time just before the world ends. Ammo? Why? Anyone planning to take as many with you to the next world as you can? If so, such an one is one sick puppy.

Are we in the endtimes? Well yes, matter of fact.....probably since WW2. Nobody knows when the Savior comes again.....this is just one more sign of the times. The best insurance is to live as if it's today.....there's lots of people that need help....peace and calm comes when you spend your time trying to help them.
 
Last edited:
My hunting buddy finally decided to start reloading about a month ago and ordered basic equipment, a few pounds of powder, and some primers. He is good for starters and I cast so i can supply him with bullets. If he really has fun doing this, I have powder and oprimers to spare since I stocked up. Those of you who have plenty, make sure you share the wealth.
 
Costco 30 roll TP package---that is 12,750 sheets in those 30 rolls---say 10 sheets an ass wipe---that is 1,725 ass wipes for ONE person---1 ass
wipe a day for OVER 4.5 YEARS !!!
 
If you find yourself short, look at it as an opportunity to try out some new components, or shoot some forgotten calibers. In the last big panic, my 9x18, 7.62 Tokarev, 7.62X54R, and 8x57mm arms got a lot more time out of the case as ammo and components were more readily available for these. Also "discovered" a couple of new shotgun powders as things got slim.

This time, I stocked ahead of the panic, so it should have little impact on me so long as things return to semi-normal within 1.5years. I do think I'll be spending more range time with the X54Rs though, as I'm still sitting on a couple thousand rounds from when Dubya was still president and it was $80/thousand. Couldn't resist hoarding at those prices.
 
If we get through this Chinese virus crisis in 6 months and ammo supplies are lower and prices are still higher than all of 2019, it still might be time to buy. Just as a market can crash and go lower than you can believe, a market can go higher than you believe. 9mm was $8.95 a box 2 weeks ago, now is going for $13 per box. Could be $20 by years end. It will not necessarily go back to $8.95.

There are multiple reasons prices could continue to rise. One example that nobody seems to talk about is Putin and Saudi starting an oil war just when this Chinese virus crisis hits America. Our oil companies and banks are getting killed at the worst possible time. Coincidence? I don’t think so.

So what could be next event that shoots America in another extremity and causes more shortages?
 
Last edited:
Costco 30 roll TP package---that is 12,750 sheets in those 30 rolls---say 10 sheets an ass wipe---that is 1,725 ass wipes for ONE person---1 ass
wipe a day for OVER 4.5 YEARS !!!
I ordered some groceries online the other day from a local supermarket to avoid the crowds. I don't know what they had left in the store, but the only TP that they offered online were 24 roll bulk packs. My need isn't urgent... yet... so I passed on it.
 
So what could be next event that shoots America in another extremity and causes more shortages?

Again...kinda the just of my OP. Folks should have learned that almost any little thing could and has created panic buying of ammo, firearms and components. Thus they should always have on hand what they think they may need, not just for this week, but for several months. For some this is not economically feasible and I understand. One must keep their priorities. Feed the kids and then your guns. None of these scenarios has come around because we feel we are going to enter a "Mad Max" TEOTWAWKI situation. What the 'ell are we in for if that ever happens? That is why, things like canned food, bottled water, batteries and basic medical/hygiene supplies should always be stocked somewhere in our primary residence. Same goes for ammo. Have enough to get you thru for a while now, instead of rushing out at the last minute and getting all that Walmart has left. We are lucky this pandemic is seen to be just a temporary thing. One only has to look back in history at WWI and WWII to see where we could have scenarios where we need to make great sacrifices for years.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top