Old Fuff said:
When you have worked inside of the firearms industry (and I have) you soon come to understand that decisions are not made on the basis of political or "gun rights" issues, but $$$$...
There are exceptions of course, but when it comes to the bottom line (which is indeed the bottom line) firearm manufacturers, distributors and dealers are in the business of making and selling product, and making a profit while doing so.
Yup. This new law appears to have had the support of CAFR (Calif Assn of Firearms Retailers) and CRPA due to their shared lobbyist-idiot, Kathy Lynch.
[Yes, that appellation for Kathy is not 'high road'. But she has been the enabler of borderline CA gun laws that large dealer chains actually like -because it reduces competition. She/her orgs help run SB15 'approved handgun list' thru in spite of NRA opposition - she paired up with Robert Ricker who lobbied for SASS short-term to get the precious single-action exemption.]
What happens in CA is that in the past we'd have fence-sititing legislators that would not vote anti-gun if enough opposition existed. But when they see NRA against something but CRPA+CAFR+SASS lobbyists for something, they assume the opposition is split and they can vote antigun.
Big CA chain dealers LIKE some of these laws. You won't see Turner's, for example, complaining much about a mail-order ammo ban: they think it's in their best interests for folks not to buy skids of milsurp 308 and instead buy it from Turner's at $15+/box (or whatever it is)
Old Fuff said:
On this basis a small retailer may abandon doing business in California (or wherever) because the additional hassle isn’t worth it, because whatever business they do is limited. Larger distributors and manufacturers may absorb the additional cost, but only up to a certain point.
Sometimes. Actually the smaller FFLs have been a boon to CA and go the extra mile. It was a host of smaller FFLs that helped move 'off-list' AR receivers into CA at end of 2005/early 2006, while larger ones were cowed with legally-unsustainable letters from CA DOJ (in combination with poor reading ability). CA gunnies are loyal and threw a lotta biz their way afterward and quite a few of these businesses grew nicely.
CA gunnies support these dealers, and if there's a bit extra charge for CA paperwork, we understand paying a tad more for that cost.
Old Fuff said:
This point hasn’t been reached yet, but it may happen in the not distance future. At the present time some manufacturers are limiting the number of models they choose to qualify on California’s “can buy” list.
Yeah. A big part of the problem is some of these mfgrs (esp Springfield Armory) change SKUs everytime they sneeze - even when that SKU change reflects just grips/sights/coating changes. There appear to be alternate ways of doing this that meet CA law and allow such variations to be sold as one item (with allowed cosmetic variations).
Old Fuff said:
Manufacturers are also aware that if they incorporate certain features required by California statutes, sales in other states may be negatively impacted if the features are unpopular with buyers in those states.
Perhaps. But there is some overlap in CA with some other states' laws, so it becomes efficient to do that.
Old Fuff said:
At some point, when they’re overall profits are effected in a downward direction far enough, they will abandon the California market.
Probably not for a long time, except for some small firms. And we have ways of getting around that via the single-shot and single-action exemptions.
CA is the ~8th largest economy in the world, and there are a TON of people buying guns here. The greater SF Bay area alone is responsible (directly and indirectly combined) for 4% of the US's GNP. I believe CA new gun sales exceed that of a whole slough of Western states,
combined. S&W factory folk have told me they LOVE CA, and they're gonna do everything they can to ensure Californians can buy their guns.
Bill Wiese
San Jose CA