Could upcoming SCOTUS case NY State Rifle & Pistol Ass v. City of NY lead to Constitutional Carry?

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Aim1

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SCOTUS has the the upcoming case New York State Rifle and Pistol Association v. City of New York on its docket which is about being able to transport your firearm to more than just several allowed gun ranges and needing a permit to do so. Also needing a permit to bring your firearms anywhere else such as a second home.

Could SCOTUS rule that not only is it not allowed to ban the transportation of legal firearms you shouldn’t need multiple permits do to so this leading to Constitutional Carry and not needing a permit to transport a legally owned firearm?
 
The Court likes to decide its cases on the narrowest possible grounds. Besides that, there's often a coalition-building process among the Justices. So for those reasons, I don't think the Court would go beyond the specific issues presented.
 
The Court likes to decide its cases on the narrowest possible grounds. Besides that, there's often a coalition-building process among the Justices. So for those reasons, I don't think the Court would go beyond the specific issues presented.

Usually
But they also are known for shocking us
So I never bank on a ruling
 
I think we're all dying to know what the new SCOTUS will say about the 2A after nearly a decade of practical silence during which the circuit courts have divided markedly. Word on the street is that the conservative wing wasn't sanguine about liberalizing jurisprudence on the 2A any further with Anthony Kennedy as the deciding vote.
 
I think we're all dying to know what the new SCOTUS will say about the 2A after nearly a decade of practical silence during which the circuit courts have divided markedly. Word on the street is that the conservative wing wasn't sanguine about liberalizing jurisprudence on the 2A any further with Anthony Kennedy as the deciding vote.

It’s why I’d like Ruthie to retire or admit she and Keith Richards have already had dates with the grim reaper and be replaced by Amy Barrett. Of course we all know that the SCOTUS always surprises us so someone else will probably go before her, and I’m hoping it’s an Anti and not a Constitutionalist.
 
Could SCOTUS rule that not only is it not allowed to ban the transportation of legal firearms you shouldn’t need multiple permits do to so this leading to Constitutional Carry and not needing a permit to transport a legally owned firearm?

Not likely. There's a reason the case they picked is at the far end of the range of restrictions on firearms outside the home... constitutional carry is the far other end.

They don't need to reach any question of carry whatsoever to strike down a law that prohibits locked-and-unloaded (or even disassembled) transportation. Carrying in a manner suitable for self-defense is one thing, merely hauling the gun to your other domicile in the Catskills or to a weekend pistol match in PA is quite another.

Moreover, even if they wanted to tackle carry right, NYC's carry scheme is basically that they won't issue carry permits to ordinary people. Even if the Court takes a different case to deal with that (or decides to opine on it here, even though it's not at issue), the most you might realistically get is shall issue.

Here's the thing about "constitutional carry" - all kinds of other constitutional rights can be subject to licensing schemes. Lots of public gatherings/protests require a permit, even though free speech and peaceable assembly are both protected by the constitution. Marriage is constitutionally protected - and requires a license from the state. Voting requires registration.

The RKBA has traditionally been treated worse and taken less seriously than most other constitutional rights. "Constitutional carry" being found to be constitutionally-required would mean that the Court suddenly jumped the RKBA past other core rights in terms of how much the political branches are allowed to impose "reasonable" or "modest" licensing schemes. In short: There is no realistic chance. That is not going to happen.
 
Word on the street is that the conservative wing wasn't sanguine about liberalizing jurisprudence on the 2A any further with Anthony Kennedy as the deciding vote.
Chief Justice Roberts has taken the place of Kennedy as the "swing vote," and it has nothing to do with the liberal-conservative split. Roberts is an institutionalist, and he won't let the Court get too far ahead of public opinion, lest its standing and public support suffer.
 
Could SCOTUS rule that not only is it not allowed to ban the transportation of legal firearms you shouldn’t need multiple permits do to so this leading to Constitutional Carry and not needing a permit to transport a legally owned firearm?

Magi 8-Ball says: "Reply hazy. Try again."
 
It’s why I’d like Ruthie to retire

Magic 8-Ball says: "Don't Count On It." (I don't know why Im on a magi 8 Ball shtick today. lol)

At any rate, I think that dream is over. I don't believe President Trump will appointing any further Supreme Court justices in his career.
 
At any rate, I think that dream is over. I don't believe President Trump will appointing any further Supreme Court justices in his career.

Hopefully he will have six more years to try. Ginsburg has made it clear she never intends to step down. I have read several different reports that she only works half a day and her law clerks are writing her opinions. The only good news for us is since she is the most liberal justice even if she becomes incapacitated it will not harm the Conservative votes on the Bench.

Breyer is 80 which really doesn’t mean much. Assuming good health he can ride out six more years of a Trump Presidency.

As I said I am really concerned about Roberts turning to the left. He lacks the conviction to set a clear legacy for his Court such as what Warren did. He is becoming very unreliable without Scalia to guide him.
 
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Too speculative and empty blather without reference to any evidence.

If folks really wanted to have a serious discussion about where SCOTUS might go with this, the places to start would be (1) the Circuit Court opinion; and (2) the petition for certiorari. The petition for certiorari will outline the claimed appellate court errors and the questions presented to SCOTUS.
 
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