K-Romulus
Member
"too too optimistic"
(To paraphrase MrBenchley)
All it will take to get AUS/UK-style laws is for the current media drumbeat on "gun violence," "the powerful gun lobby," "bleeding cities," etc., with the accompanying current anti-gun-owner political wave fostered by Bloomberg, et al., to continue for the rest of the year.
The fed elections in November are too close to call, and the realistically potential "worst case downside" is a fed legislature eager to implement the proposed permanent tougher AWB II, along with the previously proposed needs-based Brady II handgun owner licensing & registration scheme, not to mention the previously proposed needs-based "arsenal licensing."
Maybe it's because I live in the DC area, have relatives in NYC and Phila, and follow the gun control issue like some sort of OCD sufferer, but between the politicians I see falling all over themselves to "ban guns," the nationwide breadth of local law enforcement heads who back them up, the fed legislators on the same bandwagon, the CCW-encounter-with-LEO horror stories posted here at THR and Packing.org (to give a snapshot of rank-and-file LEO attitudes), and the breathtakingly overwhelming number of people I meet (both in and out of this area) who believe that all firearms ownership should be banned at the federal level, I do not have the same optimism you guys have.
And to top it off, if there is such a UK/AUS-style ban, I am "more confident than not" that the USSC will (1) decisively rule in favor of the "collective rights" interpretation, before (2) approving the ban, anyway, in a hypothetical discussion of the individual rights view, as a "reasonable, narrowly tailored" restriction on the Second Amendment, and it will do so based on looking at the fact that 99% of the other countries in the world have adopted those or more restrictive laws.
I dunno, maybe I need a vacation or something to get away and some perspective. I hope I'm wrong and you guys are right . . .
M67: The article is about the 2001 conference, but they are supposed to be periodic. The next conference is scheduled to begin in two weeks. Here is the leading anti-gun NGO's page on the conference: http://www.iansa.org/un/index.htm
IANSA is the defacto agenda-setter for the conference. This year, they want an agreement on domestic gun laws passed by majority vote (somethat that was rejected through veto power during the 2001 conference), and hold up Australia as the model for those domestic laws.
(To paraphrase MrBenchley)
All it will take to get AUS/UK-style laws is for the current media drumbeat on "gun violence," "the powerful gun lobby," "bleeding cities," etc., with the accompanying current anti-gun-owner political wave fostered by Bloomberg, et al., to continue for the rest of the year.
The fed elections in November are too close to call, and the realistically potential "worst case downside" is a fed legislature eager to implement the proposed permanent tougher AWB II, along with the previously proposed needs-based Brady II handgun owner licensing & registration scheme, not to mention the previously proposed needs-based "arsenal licensing."
Maybe it's because I live in the DC area, have relatives in NYC and Phila, and follow the gun control issue like some sort of OCD sufferer, but between the politicians I see falling all over themselves to "ban guns," the nationwide breadth of local law enforcement heads who back them up, the fed legislators on the same bandwagon, the CCW-encounter-with-LEO horror stories posted here at THR and Packing.org (to give a snapshot of rank-and-file LEO attitudes), and the breathtakingly overwhelming number of people I meet (both in and out of this area) who believe that all firearms ownership should be banned at the federal level, I do not have the same optimism you guys have.
And to top it off, if there is such a UK/AUS-style ban, I am "more confident than not" that the USSC will (1) decisively rule in favor of the "collective rights" interpretation, before (2) approving the ban, anyway, in a hypothetical discussion of the individual rights view, as a "reasonable, narrowly tailored" restriction on the Second Amendment, and it will do so based on looking at the fact that 99% of the other countries in the world have adopted those or more restrictive laws.
I dunno, maybe I need a vacation or something to get away and some perspective. I hope I'm wrong and you guys are right . . .
M67: The article is about the 2001 conference, but they are supposed to be periodic. The next conference is scheduled to begin in two weeks. Here is the leading anti-gun NGO's page on the conference: http://www.iansa.org/un/index.htm
IANSA is the defacto agenda-setter for the conference. This year, they want an agreement on domestic gun laws passed by majority vote (somethat that was rejected through veto power during the 2001 conference), and hold up Australia as the model for those domestic laws.