If GWB looses this election because of a strong 3rd party turnout, I guarantee that the Republican Party will gradually start adopting Libertarian philosophies.
Would you support this statement by outlining the the adaptations that that the Republican Party made after their loss to Clinton in 1992 and how George Bush II is the new more "libertarian" candidate that was a result of this lesson that you claim will happen. Wait, if you are not happy with Bush II, then obviously the party didn't learn anything when the third party taught them a lesson in 1992. Your theory won't work.
And the main reason this theory of punishing them won't work is because elections are not won on the poles. That is the hard core individuals on the edges aren't big enough to worry about. Who is big enough to try and get their vote? THE MIDDLE! Yes, it is those undecided middle voters that win and lose elections. How do I know? I was a freaking Political Science Major and I studied this crap. The middle wins elections. Now there is an exception when you get enough people to leave the party they usually would associate with and they vote for a third party. Perot in 1992 was an excellent example. Some might say Bush wasn't electable and that is why he lost. Fair enough. What was the end result? Bill Clinton. Everyone raise your hand if you enjoyed Bill Clinton's 8 years in office?
The Republican Party isn't going to learn a darn thing if they lose this election because Badarnick or whatever his name is got 3% of the popular vote. You can look forward to Kerry ruling the roost for four years and you can look forward to at the very least an AWB II. If you think some RINOs in the house aren't going to give Kerry AWBII in exchange for some pork in their district, you are kidding yourself. We don't need to discuss the Senate because they already had enough to put AWB extended on the liability bill. Bush isn't going to fight for AWBII, he is done with new guns laws. There is a big difference between not doing anything and actively seeking to get something passed when you are the President. He isn't called he most powerful person in the world for nothing.
This is a dead horse, but lets beat it some more. If you want to reform the Republican Party, you are going to have to get off your lazy butt and do it where it matters the most, on your local level. You won't be able to do it by casting your vote for a 3rd party in the Presidential election. However, your ineffective means of sending a message to the Republican Party unfortunately can cost us all in the long run. 4 years of Kerry should be something that appalls everyone on this board.
But heck, why do I care? Why am I wasting my time trying to help out free America? Bring on AWBII, I doubt it will be any worse than SB23 here in the PRK. So vote third party! join California in our quest to reach the dream of a peaceful utopia where big brother knows best. Yes, free America, join us! Join your comrades in the PRK.