Changing public opinion via demonstrations

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No. Corroborated eyewitness testimony. Plus scientific forensic evidence.
None of which you’ve personally seen or verified. You take it on faith that the persons reporting this evidence are factual and unbiased.

And without it, all we have is supposition.
All you can have is supposition, because that’s all there is. The entire OP is supposition, and it’s supposition from someone in a restricted carry state at that. I have never said I disagree with the OP, I merely asked a follow-up question. Apparently my f/u question is rubbing people the wrong way because it has been ignored to chase these minor points down rabbit holes.

I have one data point. The state representative of one friend of mine in the Puget Sound area states that she is "freaked out" wham she sees people carrying guns. Might the practice possible result in more such reactions? Those are people that one does not want to influence negatively.
See State vs Casad:

We note that, in connection with this case, several individuals have commented that they would find it strange, maybe shocking, to see a man carrying a gun down the street in broad daylight. Casad’s appellate counsel conceded that she would personally react with shock, but she emphasized that an individual’s lack of comfort with firearms does not equate to reasonable alarm. We agree. It is not unlawful for a person to responsibly walk down the street with a visible firearm, even if this action would shock some people.

Of course, all this nitpicking minor points in my post has nothing to do with my follow-up question to the OP, which despite being asked four times now, remains unanswered.

If you, as a gun owner and carrier, act as though your sidearm is somehow exceptional or peculiar, how on earth can you dare to expect the non-gun owning public to see it any different?
 
Consider this part of the OP and reflect upon it.

If our goal is to be a positive influence, it's critical to understand how our actions will be perceived by those we wish to positively influence....

That does NOT mean to consult a circle of like-minded friends; it means seeking counsel from a wide variety of persons with a wide variety of views. Not everyone who is consulted has to be happy with the resulting plan (it's impossible to satisfy everyone), but the planner needs to carefully consider all the points of view in the process of creating a strategy.

It's important to understand how critical this step is. ...

It's NOT enough to look at a plan and judge it exclusively based on how you, personally (or other people with nearly identical views), feel about it.

None of that is at all peculiar to the use of public demonstrations.

The same principles apply in the development of an advertising campaign, planning for a litigation strategy, product development, the framing of a political campaign....one can go on and on.

In some areas, there are basic tenets that are well understood because they are time tried: the defendant should appear clean and kempt, with a supportive significant other in attendance; the background for the ad scenes should be inviting; the prevention of the case must play to the sympathies of the jurors....

Some, though untried, should be self-evident from the outset. The idea of having men wave unslung rifles around in a family restaurants should be seen as an obviously poor strategy on the face of it without further ado. In a couple of places that was not taken into account, and we now have the evidence in hand. At some cost, I might add.

Still others remain unknown until the homework has been done. Unless the litigants, the firm, the political candidate or party, the designers, the demonstrators, etc. are willing to proceed on the basis of what John appropriately classified as "blind trial and error" and bet everything on an unknown outcome, they need to do their homework.

Frank Ettin has referred to that in a recent related thread. That homework can involve simulation, mock juries, test populations and control groups, and so on. It is routine in vey important situations.

I suggest again that unless and until someone has gone to the effort to design and conduct a valid experiment that would show the likely results of public demonstrations, those who demonstrate are engaging in blind trial and error.
 
Posted by Mainsail: None of which you’ve personally seen or verified. You take it on faith that the persons reporting this evidence are factual and unbiased
Do you contend that that somehow makes it anecdotal?

By the way, hundreds of people from different walks of life provided their recollections of the event. Not all were unbiassed. But the differences in their accounts were insignificant. And there was the forensic evidence, from then and from decades later.

The entire OP is supposition, and it’s supposition from someone in a restricted carry state at that.
I would characterize it as a well thought discussion of how demonstrations can be used to win or lose friends and to influence people favorably or unfavorably. It is amply supported, I think, by recent events that have backfired.

See State vs Casad: "We note that, in connection with this case, several individuals have commented that they would find it strange, maybe shocking, to see a man carrying a gun down the street in broad daylight. Casad’s appellate counsel conceded that she would personally react with shock, but she emphasized that an individual’s lack of comfort with firearms does not equate to reasonable alarm. We agree. It is not unlawful for a person to responsibly walk down the street with a visible firearm, even if this action would shock some people."
How does an appellate court ruling tell us anything at all about changing public opinion?

If you, as a gun owner and carrier, act as though your sidearm is somehow exceptional or peculiar, how on earth can you dare to expect the non-gun owning public to see it any different?
I have read that several times, and I'm afraid I still have no idea of what it is that you are trying to ask, or why.
 
I have read that several times, and I'm afraid I still have no idea of what it is that you are trying to ask, or why.
I gather he is suggesting the maxim that if you proceed as though whatever you're doing is perfectly natural and expected, 99% of folks will probably treat you as though what you're doing is perfectly natural and expected. Conversely, act all nervous and worked-up, and/or even furtively hiding our carried guns perhaps(?), will make people see you as odd, suspicious, and maybe even dangerous.

Sort of like skipping class back in high school. As long as you act like you're heading some place important (throw a roll of extension cord over your shoulder and push around a cart of supplies) nobody will stop you to ask why you're wandering the halls! ;)
 
I have read that several times, and I'm afraid I still have no idea of what it is that you are trying to ask, or why.

I'm sure Mainsail will correct me if I'm wrong but I think he's saying that if you are using a gun as a prop for its shock value in order to force people to pay attention then people will (correctly) perceive you as if you were shouting and waving a sign in their face and will associate gun carriers with "dangerous jerks". If, however, you're just carrying a gun while going about your normal business people are likely to react accordingly.
 
nazshooter said:
...If, however, you're just carrying a gun while going about your normal business people are likely to react accordingly.
Mainsail may indeed be saying that; but we still don't know it is necessarily true all the time, or how or when it will be true.

Perhaps sometimes, in some places, under some circumstances it will be true. But it might also not be true at other times, in other places and in other circumstances.
 
If you, as a gun owner and carrier, act as though your sidearm is somehow exceptional or peculiar, how on earth can you dare to expect the non-gun owning public to see it any different?

I understand the premise behind this. You could also say if you as a Rottweiler owner, act as though your dog is somehow exceptional or peculiar, how on earth can you dare to expect the non-Rottweiler owning public to see it any different?

So what is your opinion about Rottweilers? I personally don't trust them. Not much of an argument IMO and honestly I don't think the non-gun owning public is going to buy it either.

If you want OC you will have to do a better job to promote it. Just exposure to it won't be enough.

We have to be smart about this if we do it. Activism is about having a plan, not about arguing about can we or should we, but how we should and why we should, or not, in some circumstances.

I like this as a place to start.

Of course we should have open carry. I open carry, I just don't do it in the grocery store. I like the freedom of being able to hike in warm weather with a shoulder holster outside. When people ask I tell them it's for bears and snakes and it makes them feel better.;) Most people who are non-gun owners are naive or have objections to it on moral grounds. I can understand that and we need to understand that. Those people vote just like we do and they outnumber us by a wide margin. To be effective we have to somehow convince them that the guns themselves are not the threat. The threat, if there was one, would come from the person with the gun. So the burden of proof is on us. It shouldn't be but everyone these days wants some insurance. Insurance is a big business. That insurance might come in the form of a license. I have a license to CC. I have a license to visit my state park. I have a license to hunt. I have a license to drive. It goes on and on. If you carry a gun in any manner, maybe a license is in order. I know some people are going to choke on that but at least you can reply by saying do you have a license to drive, well I have a license to carry this pistol and I will carry it however I want.

A lot of people won't get a license to OC. Those are the people that won't get a license to CC. They just want to tell you it's muh right and by god I'm not payin for somethin that's muh right. Well in TX and 5 other states it isn't your right. Here's a tip. If you let the state or county control it (permit like CC) and get revenue from it chances are good that you can have it. It's how they do things these days. The train done left the station.

That would be my approach instead of taking my AR into Wal Mart and dissing the manager. He wasn't around for reconstruction.
 
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I'm sure Mainsail will correct me if I'm wrong but I think he's saying that if you are using a gun as a prop for its shock value in order to force people to pay attention then people will (correctly) perceive you as if you were shouting and waving a sign in their face and will associate gun carriers with "dangerous jerks". If, however, you're just carrying a gun while going about your normal business people are likely to react accordingly.
I won't say you're wrong.

The OP has a half page of suggestions about demonstrations. The problem is the most gun owners lean towards conservative- a group that historically does not march or sit-in or shake signs and chant. I doubt most people have time to read the whole OP, much less go through all that. While it seems like a list of good suggestions, I doubt anyone will ever take it.

What we did in WA worked- just polite friendly people going about their lives just like everyone else, but with a pistol showing. Frank insists, from San Fran 800 miles away, that it needs to be proven in scientific terms or he won't believe. We don't really care. We know what we saw and still see.
 
Mainsail said:
...We don't really care...
We know you don't really care. That's obvious. Some of us do however care about effectively advocating RKBA.

Mainsail said:
...We know what we saw and still see.
And that's exactly why people used to think the Earth was flat and the center of the universe.

Now that's settled, perhaps we can go back to trying to discuss effective RKBA advocacy.
 
What we did in WA worked- just polite friendly people going about their lives just like everyone else, but with a pistol showing.

Maybe we wouldn't be so curtly opposed to each others' viewpoints if we defined this a little better so we make sure we're talking apples-to-apples.

"What we did WORKED." Worked to what end, exactly? Are you saying that open carry is a settled thing in Washington state and is unexceptional to the point of producing no negative fallout?

Worked to what degree exactly? That you can walk around wherever you want with a visible handgun without making people uncomfortable?
That you can walk around wherever you want with a visible handgun without seeing people vote against your wishes in large enough numbers to matter?
(These are two separate issues. One you can know, and one you can only guess at, mostly.)

Or that you can walk around wherever you want with a RIFLE without eliciting either of those negative outcomes?

Or something else?

I guess what I'm asking is what is the actual matter of fact that makes you say "it worked?" What'cha all hanging your hat on here? :)
 
Now that's settled, perhaps we can go back to trying to discuss effective RKBA advocacy.
I accept your apology.

Maybe we wouldn't be so curtly opposed to each others' viewpoints if we defined this a little better so we make sure we're talking apples-to-apples.

"What we did WORKED." Worked to what end, exactly?
Worked as in OC became more acceptable in the eye of the general public. Totally acceptable? Nothing is absolute.

Ten years ago OC was just as lawful as it is today, but nobody did it. Since nobody did it- nobody outside the gun community knew it was lawful and assumed it was not. Now we have news organizations reporting on it and mentioning it is lawful.

If you (collective yous) insist on 'absolute proof' and 'zero people are uncomfortable' fuggetaboutit. Nothing is absolute (except the statement that nothing is absolute) on earth. The whole forum is about our beliefs, anecdotes, ideas, theories, experiences, and second hand information. Why is it that only open carry demands such a higher level of reliability?
 
Mainsail said:
...Worked as in OC became more acceptable in the eye of the general public....
Did it really? You certainly believe it, but on a very flimsy basis. And your experiences still do not reflect a universal truth.

Mainsail said:
...The whole forum is about our beliefs, anecdotes, ideas, theories, experiences, and second hand information. Why is it that only open carry demands such a higher level of reliability?
Different people, even on this board, have different credibility thresholds. Some people believe things at the drop of a hat because they really want to believe or because this assertion or that assertion fits their preconceive world view.

Some people here require more evidence. I'm among those, as is JohnKSa and Kleanbore. We come from a world in which decisions and beliefs must be evidence based.

We might consider that much of the anti-gun movement is based on beliefs which are not evidence based.
 
They are not representative of the majority of gun owners anywhere.
And yet I see some gun owners trying to make the case that we should defend their actions simply because they are gun owners too. That's short-sighted and wrong-headed. If someone does something ill-advised with guns in public, we should not, we can not support their actions. In fact, it's important that we make it clear to everyone (pro-gun, anti-gun) that what has been done is ill-advised and that we don't support it.

Although my comment in the OP about any particular member of a group potentially becoming a de facto spokesperson, and the danger of rogue members was narrowly focused in the context in which I made it, it also applies more broadly. When a gun owner makes a public statement (either verbally or by his actions) that is harmful to the rest of the gun community, the immediate (and natural) assumption that those outside the firearm community will make is that he speaks for all of us or that his actions are representative.

It's important that the general community moves rapidly to make it clear that is not the case.
Apparently my f/u question is rubbing people the wrong way because it has been ignored to chase these minor points down rabbit holes.
I answered your question in the original post and reiterated the answer in my second post on this thread.

"What's wrong with just carrying your handgun in a holster openly and going about your business politely?" Maybe nothing, maybe something. There might be nothing wrong with it at all, but there might be some contexts in which "going about your business politely" with an openly carried pistol could be considered anything but polite.

That's why it's important to do some serious investigative work to determine how people in your area are likely to react to OC in various circumstances. I provided some loose guidelines for how to do that work and tried to explain why it's so critically important.

"If our goal is to be a positive influence, it's critical to understand how our actions will be perceived by those we wish to positively influence. The alternative is blind trial and error, and it's an understatement to call that a foolish strategy."

For what it's worth, your comment about "going about your business politely" is an example of circular reasoning. Because you start off with the assumption that you are being polite, you exclude the possibility that not everyone will see what you do as polite.

I suspect that the answer "It depends" isn't going to make you happy because it highlights the fact that like so many real-world issues, the question of when OC is prudent and when it's not does not have a strictly black or white answer. Unfortunately many times, in the real world, the actual answer is "It depends on the circumstances."
... from someone in a restricted carry state at that.
This is an ad hominem fallacy. Where I am does not prove that what I've posted is incorrect. If what I've posted is in error then you should be able to point out the errors. If you can not, attempting to attack the content by attacking the author instead is a logical fallacy.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ad_hominem
"...a general category of fallacies in which a claim or argument is rejected on the basis of some irrelevant fact about the author of or the person presenting the claim or argument."​
I doubt most people have time to read the whole OP, much less go through all that. While it seems like a list of good suggestions, I doubt anyone will ever take it.
I'm optimistic. I doubt that a lot of people will pay attention, but I think some might. I believe that your analysis is probably pretty accurate in the sense that the people who need to read it most probably won't bother to take the time to do so.

This is where people like YOU come in. You did take the time to read it and you seem to understand it. Maybe you, or someone like you who took the time to read this thread and who understands it will get the chance to talk to someone who can benefit from thinking about some of concepts discussed here.

That's why I take the time to post here. Some people probably think that pointing out logical fallacies is some kind of an ego trip for me. The reason I do it is because people who care enough about the issues to spend the time reading and posting here are likely to be the ones who care enough to go out and take action and to talk with friends, neighbors and others in their area.

So I think it's important for them to be able to both spot logical fallacies when others make them and to be able to avoid making them in their own arguments. I point them out hoping people will take note and learn.

That's also why I started this thread. I realize that the worst offenders won't be bothered to pay attention to any opinion other than their own and those that mirror their own. But not everyone is that far gone. I also realize that not everyone who reads what I wrote will agree with everything I've said. But I do hope that it will provide some food for thought.

Thinking is a good thing and I think more people ought to try it. This is my way of trying to help people think.
 
"What's wrong with just carrying your handgun in a holster openly and going about your business politely?"

There are a lot of things wrong if it is illegal to do so. So for those of us who live in the six states plus DC where open carry of handguns is illegal, the question is irrelevant.
 
"What's wrong with just carrying your handgun in a holster openly and going about your business politely?"

There are a lot of things wrong if it is illegal to do so. So for those of us who live in the six states plus DC where open carry of handguns is illegal, the question is irrelevant.

Exactly. You can't really use WA to test whether or not the general public is going to be receptive to open carry in a state where it isn't legal. The demographic is that the western part of the state is primarily blue and the eastern part red. The most populated counties are blue. Those counties have been growing at a rapid rate for 30 years. I know because I lived in the middle of it. A great number of those people that moved here were from CA. Because it wasn't common to OC in the metro areas the cops didn't even know it was legal and might hassle you if you did. Then it was tested by a few people who started to OC in the metro areas. They reclaimed their constitutional rights in a sea of AG folks and everyone including the cops got an education. It was a commendable effort but what they were doing was legal from the beginning. In WA if you object to OC now about the only thing you can do is demonstrate against it (and they do) and try to change it by legislation. Ironic isn't it?

As was mentioned earlier you need lots of support to do that. In order to get support you need to be able to show why you want to change the status quo or why the change is needed. Generally people don't like change so that makes it doubly hard.

I think one of the reasons that CC and shall issue has become the norm in most states is because it has been shown by studies that people licensed to CC are responsible and much less likely to commit a crime. It also goes a short distance to restore some 2A rights. It's a compromise. That's a dirty word for some people but we never get everything we want in life and the real world is full of compromise. I don't have to pay and subject myself to a background check for my RKBA at home but I do anyway because I travel and I like to carry in my vehicle.

The only way to support the statement that people who have a license to carry are less likely to commit a crime is keep records.

http://www.txchia.org/sturdevant2000.htm

Those are some hard numbers that can be used to support CC. If a license were to include OC the numbers would be the same because again it isn't the weapon or how it is carried but the person who carries it.

Oklahoma has come up with a good compromise.

http://www.ok.gov/governor/OpenCarryFAQ.html

These are just some ideas and thoughts to promote OC. Nothing is perfect and you aren't going to please everyone, but negotiation and compromise is in order here if you are trying to get something you don't have.
 
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That's better than WA, where you don't need any permit or license to carry openly? No thanks.


The way I read WA law to carry a loaded firearm in a vehicle you need a CPL.

RCW 9.41.050
Carrying firearms.

(2)(a) A person shall not carry or place a loaded pistol in any vehicle unless the person has a license to carry a concealed pistol and: (i) The pistol is on the licensee's person, (ii) the licensee is within the vehicle at all times that the pistol is there, or (iii) the licensee is away from the vehicle and the pistol is locked within the vehicle and concealed from view from outside the vehicle.

How do you manage OC without a CPL? Just curious.
 
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The way I read WA law to carry a loaded firearm in a vehicle you need a CPL.

RCW 9.41.050
Carrying firearms.

(2)(a) A person shall not carry or place a loaded pistol in any vehicle unless the person has a license to carry a concealed pistol and: (i) The pistol is on the licensee's person, (ii) the licensee is within the vehicle at all times that the pistol is there, or (iii) the licensee is away from the vehicle and the pistol is locked within the vehicle and concealed from view from outside the vehicle.

How do you manage OC without a CPL? Just curious.
When I lived in the Stadium District in Tacoma I could park my car on Friday after work and never need to drive it again until Monday morning. My CPL was tucked in the visor of my car.

You are correct- you need a CPL to carry loaded in your car, but you do not need one at all for just walking around or if you elect to unload your sidearm every time you get in the car. If you elect to do the latter, you may sit the gun and the magazine on the seat next to you- there is no requirement to separate them.
 
You are correct- you need a CPL to carry loaded in your car, but you do not need one at all for just walking around or if you elect to unload your sidearm every time you get in the car. If you elect to do the latter, you may sit the gun and the magazine on the seat next to you- there is no requirement to separate them.

That sounds like a PIA to me, but I guess some folks that live in a metro area don't drive that much. Driving everywhere, especially in Seattle is also a PIA.
 
The key to a successful demonstration is to garner sympathy from the general public. These OC rifle demonstrations are unlikely to generate sympathy for the plight of these people. They're more likely to generate sympathy for the poor people frightened while shopping at Target or eating a burrito at Chipotle.

Unfortunately, the complaint of OC Texas has very little potential for public sympathy. You have to cover your pistols? Oh no! We must right this wrong! That's never going to happen. What you have is an inconvenience, not an injustice. Nobody marches on the state capitol over an inconvenience.

It seems to me the best course of action is a lobbying campaign among the state legislators to correct the absurdity in the state regulations.
 
Blackbeard said:
The key to a successful demonstration is to garner sympathy from the general public. These OC rifle demonstrations are unlikely to generate sympathy for the plight of these people. They're more likely to generate sympathy for the poor people frightened while shopping at Target or eating a burrito at Chipotle.

Unfortunately, the complaint of OC Texas has very little potential for public sympathy. You have to cover your pistols? Oh no! We must right this wrong! That's never going to happen. What you have is an inconvenience, not an injustice. Nobody marches on the state capitol over an inconvenience.
...
Excellent points and spot on.

Many in the RKBA community have been pointing at the Civil Rights Movement and the Gay Rights Movement without understanding in any depth how they worked, why they worked, and how their lessons can and can not be useful for the advancement of our interests. But during the Civil Rights Movement many Whites came to care about the plight of the Blacks, and much of the focus was to make Whites understand and care. Many straight people came to care about the plight of the gays, and much of the focus of the gay rights movement was to make straight people understand and care. The successes of non-Whites and of gays on the social and legislative fronts depended on Whites and straights seeing non-Whites and gays as oppressed. How many non-gun owners think gun owners are oppressed?

Let's look at the comparison with the Civil Rights Movement graphically. In the days of the Civil Rights Movement:

  • White folks cared in 1960 when U. S. Marshals had to escort a black girl to school in New Orleans, Louisiana.

  • White folks cared in 1963 when George Wallace attempted to block the desegregation of the University of Alabama. He was confronted by federal marshals, Deputy Attorney General Nicholas Katzenbach, and the Alabama Army National Guard and forced to step aside.

  • White folks cared in 1963 when Wallace again attempted to stop four black students from enrolling in segregated elementary schools in Huntsville.

  • And White folks cared about --


  • On the other hand, what do non-gun owners (and many gun owners) think about:

 
Has anyone ever heard the phrase,,,

Has anyone ever heard the phrase,,,
One "aw shucks" erases 10 "atta boys".

The last two pictures in Franks post,,,
Are in the "aw shucks" category.

We've had licensed open carry here in Oklahoma,,,
For approximately 1 year and 7 months.

For the longest time I didn't see anyone OC'ing,,,
But in recent months I've seen literally hundreds of people open carrying,,,
But the only examples of OC that truly stick in my mind are the "aw shucks" examples.

I see a person OC'ing and usually all I think about is,,,
What kind of gun he's carrying and what is that holster he's using.

But people like the man I saw last week,,,
Who was open carrying an SAA in full cowboy mode,,,
Unshaven, slovenly, and scowling at everyone, he will stay in my brain.

So if I, a fervent RKBA proponent, consider this an aw shucks moment,,,
Just how do you think Mr. & Mrs. fence-sitter will perceive it,,,
They will both remember the scene very vividly,,,
And erase any atta-boys from their minds.

I rarely (almost never) open carry,,,
But when I do I try for atta-boy status,,,
That's what these few folk in Texas haven't done.

One argument says we must not scare the general population,,,
So we keep it positive and show that we aren't scary,,,
But there is a group that rejects that thought,,,
And I can't understand why.

I am in complete agreement that any demonstration needs to be well planned,,,
This isn't the old world where we can just overwhelm our foes with numbers,,,
Specific goals need to be defined and strategies devised to attain them.

Anything less becomes a protest rather than a demonstration,,,
And as someone else said earlier in this thread,,,
For any protest to have a positive effect,,,
It must generate some sympathy.

The image of those two in Chipotle's,,,
Generates nothing but fear, distrust, and anger.

Yeah, they got noticed all right,,,
But it was an aw shucks moment for certain,,,
And it erased many more than ten atta-boys for the OC crowd.

The beast is the gun-control crowd,,,
These two men fed the beast!

Aarond

.
 
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