Mike OTDP
Member
Looking at the strategic situation, I think we're on the verge of a big shift in the gun culture.
Gun Culture 1.0 was hunting-centric. Signature rifle was a sporterized Mauser or '03 Springfield. Signature pistol was the S&W Model 10...maybe. Pistol shooting wasn't a high priority. It started to be replaced by Gun Culture 2.0 around 1970, but this fact wasn't recognized even by the NRA until 1974, the industry didn't figure it out until around 2000.
Gun Culture 2.0 was self-defense centric...and also counter-gun-ban. Signature rifle is the AR, signature pistol was the 1911 early, the Glock recently.
My thinking is that Trump will get at least one more SCOTUS pick...and the most likely retirements are Kennedy (unreliable pro-gun) or Ginsburg (reliable anti-2A). Meaning we go from 4-4-1 to 5-4 or 5-3-1. At this point, the logjam of 2A cases breaks, we start winning in the courts.
Which sets up Gun Culture 3.0. No more gun bans, no need for panic buying or hoarding. But what DO we do?
I see several ways this could break.
First, a revival of traditional muzzle-loading, spurred by the 250th of U.S. independence.
Second, a revival of the precision shooting disciplines. Even the more forward-thinking defensive shooting schools are recognizing that being able to hit at 25 to 50 yards comes in very handy...and if you can make body shots at 50 yards, 15-yard head shots are practical. The precision disciplines offer a lot of shooting for your dollar.
Third, more emphasis on collecting. To be honest, a Glock or AR is a serviceable firearm, but soulless.
Thoughts?
Gun Culture 1.0 was hunting-centric. Signature rifle was a sporterized Mauser or '03 Springfield. Signature pistol was the S&W Model 10...maybe. Pistol shooting wasn't a high priority. It started to be replaced by Gun Culture 2.0 around 1970, but this fact wasn't recognized even by the NRA until 1974, the industry didn't figure it out until around 2000.
Gun Culture 2.0 was self-defense centric...and also counter-gun-ban. Signature rifle is the AR, signature pistol was the 1911 early, the Glock recently.
My thinking is that Trump will get at least one more SCOTUS pick...and the most likely retirements are Kennedy (unreliable pro-gun) or Ginsburg (reliable anti-2A). Meaning we go from 4-4-1 to 5-4 or 5-3-1. At this point, the logjam of 2A cases breaks, we start winning in the courts.
Which sets up Gun Culture 3.0. No more gun bans, no need for panic buying or hoarding. But what DO we do?
I see several ways this could break.
First, a revival of traditional muzzle-loading, spurred by the 250th of U.S. independence.
Second, a revival of the precision shooting disciplines. Even the more forward-thinking defensive shooting schools are recognizing that being able to hit at 25 to 50 yards comes in very handy...and if you can make body shots at 50 yards, 15-yard head shots are practical. The precision disciplines offer a lot of shooting for your dollar.
Third, more emphasis on collecting. To be honest, a Glock or AR is a serviceable firearm, but soulless.
Thoughts?