Panic is here to stay unfortunately for at least 6 months, possibly until MORE pro-gun Reps are in office, and until it's clear that little or nothing will happen to negatively impact guns. We're talking 6 months, possibly 2 years until election, or until a pro-gun President is in office. Sadly, Obama will likely appoint anti-gun folks to the SCOTUS. Hate to say "I told you so" but I shouted this from rooftops to everyone I knew before the election. Lots of naysayers, including folks here who just didn't believe it. :banghead:
So, as I see it, there's many angles and options. Chime in on the liklihood:
This can happen either through new laws or Executive Order.
New laws require majority votes in Senate and House, and then signature by the President. Senate is majority Democrate and House is Majority Republican. Anti-gun laws will likely be along party lines, with a few swing voters. President will happily sign into law ANY gun laws before him.
a. High Cap mag bans past/current/future. I think this is likely, banning FUTURE manufacture and import and possibly sale. Overall, I still think this fails in at least the House, for now.
b. Private transfers. The 'loophole' will almost certainly be on the table for guns, and possibly mags and ammo. We may go the way of Illinois needing a special card to buy ammo. Online sales may go away. All could require a special background check to buy or sell/transfer. I think this will become law, at least for guns.
c. Deeper mental health ownership restrictions. Possibly for anyone that has sought mental health treatment, including PTSD and TBI. I Possibly a total ban for you or anyone in your household, much like felony restrictions. think this will happen.
d. Gun/ammo import restrictions. Expect a total ban, probably not through law, but through EO.
e. Special Weapon registry. I expect either through law or EO, the ATF will tighten down on our beloved AR15 and AK type weapons. There could certainly be a registry. (We all know that will lead to confiscation one day.). Other than the NDA from a few years ago, I'm not aware of any prohibition, and the "well regulated" language of the 2A doesn't help argue against it. DC v. Heller protects handguns but didn't go quite far enough to protect these weapons, unfortunately.
So, for now, I think we'll see some encroachments. Hopefully not too terrible, but terrible just the same. As a result, I think prices will be a solid 50% higher for anything on the ban list or ammo and mags than they were in November 2012 probably until after at least the next Congressional elections, and then possibly longer depending on the outcome.