When the only place you have left to buy from is a Bud's - what then?
Well, that is the big question, right? Or, said a slightly less dramatic way, when the firearms sales model does finally settle in around the internet boom, what is it going to look like?
Certainly, even if all the really good local gun stores do end up closing because they can't compete, the demand for FFLs to transfer guns won't go away. In fact, it would go through the roof. Maybe that means that there are lots more FFLs who are just a receiving clerk in a bare room in a warehouse full of shipping boxes, doing $20 transfers all day. That may not sound like a romantic or profitable way to make a living, but the demand will be met.
It is entirely possible for a certain model or form of retail to become extinct, or rare at least, because something else changes in the world that makes part of that system's function unnecessary, or just too costly and redundant. (CD/record stores? News stands? Pay phones? Passenger ships?)
What that would mean for the consumer is that there might not be places around where you can go handle a lot of guns on display. Or where you can walk in and buy 300 types of ammunition, or reloading dies and hunting clothes, and guns in the same shop. The overhead which is being carried by the portion of the dealers' revenue that comes from markup on guns may no longer be there to sustain the niceties of well-appointed gun stores.
But when gun shop owners say to the consumer, "
When I have to close you won't be able to transfer a gun," just rings false. As the government requires that guns be sold and transferred by a federally licensed firearms license holder, there will
always be a need for such. And where there is a need someone will fill it. And the price for that service will stabilize based on factors of supply, demand, and competition just like we're dealing with here.