Blackbeard
Member
We are pretty sure that any outright ban will fall, as Chicago's and Oak Park's are sure to. My question is, which other laws will fall and which will be upheld? My guesses are:
FOID cards and other owner registrys will survive. They don't infringe on the right to keep & bear, and you even have to register to vote. Fundamental rights are protected. I think training & testing requirements are likely to survive.
NFA will survive. 10% chance that the registry is reopened. AWBs may be dead. 10% chance to survive if they are challenged under the current (incl. Kagan) court.
Blanket carry bans (IL, WI) I think are doomed. I think states will have to allow either OC or CC -- won't be allowed to ban both. I think may-issue states will be forced into shall-issue.
Ammo bans -- hard to say. It'd be hard for a state to argue that hollowpoints are just for killing and therefore bannable when that was the central purpose of the 2A as cited in Heller. Magazine capacity bans -- 50/50 chance of surviving.
Anyway those are my guesses. What do you think?
FOID cards and other owner registrys will survive. They don't infringe on the right to keep & bear, and you even have to register to vote. Fundamental rights are protected. I think training & testing requirements are likely to survive.
NFA will survive. 10% chance that the registry is reopened. AWBs may be dead. 10% chance to survive if they are challenged under the current (incl. Kagan) court.
Blanket carry bans (IL, WI) I think are doomed. I think states will have to allow either OC or CC -- won't be allowed to ban both. I think may-issue states will be forced into shall-issue.
Ammo bans -- hard to say. It'd be hard for a state to argue that hollowpoints are just for killing and therefore bannable when that was the central purpose of the 2A as cited in Heller. Magazine capacity bans -- 50/50 chance of surviving.
Anyway those are my guesses. What do you think?