AlexanderA
Member
A Democratic Senate blowout is not in the cards. Even the most rosy Democratic projections get them up to, at most, 53 Senate seats. Given that Manchin, Tester, and Sinema will probably vote against them on guns, that means that they would need a vice presidential tie breaker to even muster a bare majority. So, given the filibuster, a gun bill isn't happening even if the Democrats make a clean sweep in 2020.The state threat is the biggest one - quite correct on that, unless there is a Senatorial blow out.
The only exception to that statement would be if there was a national tragedy so terrible that a significant number of Republicans joined the antigun bandwagon.