At What Point Will You Be "All In" With Buying Ammo Again?

[Dragon breath]

I don’t know if the prices will ever get back to pre panic levels. The way inflation is headed I am not sure the price of anything is going down. Ever.

 

[hso]

9mm that used to be $12 is now $15

I expect that to be the new normal price within a very few months.

 

[danez71]

I expect that to be the new normal price within a very few months.

That would be 25% increase and far outpacing the inflated sky is falling inflation #s predictions....

You could be right, though.

When ammo settles down to inflation paced pricing, I'll be all in while grumbling about inflated inflation.

ETA: $12 per 50 of 9mm selling for $13 would still be out pacing Bidenflation by quite a bit.

 

[flightsimmer]

First off I don't know what I'm taking about, so, just ignore what I'm about to say.

Inflation is here big time and can only get worse. Thanks Joe.

Retailers who have purchased ammo at these inflated prices will be reluctant to lower their price on this batch to take a loss, accept maybe Walmart, and most customers will be reluctant to purchase very little of it.

A couple of close friends needed enough ammo for one or two magazines full for their personal protection firearms but couldn't or wouldn't pay for a full box and wanted to buy a few rounds from me, well being a friend in need I just gave them what they needed, I'm not going to charge them for it.

I'm not going to be shooting up any of my stash accept to test out a new gun and then very little of it at that.

Even if Donald gets back at the helm it may take more than 4 years to correct the damage, if ever. So I don't see any light at the end of the tunnel for the rest of my life.

The only hope I see is to pray and pray hard.

 

[brewer12345]

I am awaiting primers much more so than loaded ammo. First there has to be inventory to buy of course, but I would start buying again at $40 a brick to replenish my stash. Maybe we will see some availability in a year?

 

[JR24]

Found some 230 grain HST online for $40/50, which is pretty much pre COVID.

Still skeptical that it will actually ship despite being listed in stock ...

 

[JR24]

That would be 25% increase and far outpacing the inflated sky is falling inflation #s predictions....

You could be right, though.

When ammo settles down to inflation paced pricing, I'll be all in while grumbling about inflated inflation.

ETA: $12 per 50 of 9mm selling for $13 would still be out pacing Bidenflation by quite a bit.

Inflation, sure, but from what I'm reading out of RMR copper and lead prices are way up too, so there could just be basic material price increase involved too.

 

[danez71]

Inflation, sure, but from what I'm reading out of RMR copper and lead prices are way up too, so there could just be basic material price increase involved too.

Assuming you mean raw material costs, 'basic material price increase' is most certainly part of inflation... including Bidenflation.

 

[JR24]

Assuming you mean raw material costs, 'basic material price increase' is most certainly part of inflation... including Bidenflation.

Yeah, that's what I meant. I had meant to type base, but my phone apparently autocorrected my typing fail.

Raw material is a more proper way to say it, true.

 

[SimonRL]

Ammo is pretty plentiful in my area but 9mm for example, is going for $35 for a box of 50. I’m just replacing what I’m shooting at the moment but when things get in the $15-$20 a box range I’ll start trying to get ahead of the curve. I don’t think we’re ever going to see $10 for 50 again unless it’s crappy Russian steel ammo.

 

[plainsdrifter]

Supply and demand. Copper is going to stay high as the economy starts to kick in and demand is high. It's going to take a year at least. You can't even get AC parts or a new unit hardly.

 

[SimonRL]

I bought one of those cheap Russian a/c units!

 

[JTHunter]

My SiL sent me a link to a site that supposedly had low prices but she may have been optimistic. While this site did have some primers, they did NOT have any for magnum pistol loads.
They had Remington Golden bulk .22LR for $32/525 rounds which is ~$0.0609/round (plus S&H). If you're interested, here's the link - discountammostore.com
When I checked Graf's, the place that I have purchased reloading supplies in the past (2 years ago), they have NO primers at all. They were also out of H110 and W296 powder I use for .357. Their link is grafs.com

 

[Jimbo80]

Barring anti gun legislation I predict ammo will be back to reasonable prices by early next year. There's probably more ammo in existence now than will ever be shot in my lifetime. There is still ammo from WWII and Korea around. If not for politics and Covid ammo might be BOGO now.

 

[FL-NC]

I think those days are in the past. I'm afraid some of my favorite toys may have become safe queens.

 

[Tirod]

It won't get fixed until we nationalize China's ownership in American corporations and seize their real estate property holdings. Last I heard they were the biggest farmland owner in America. That is a massive shift in the last 20 years, along with the working mans wages actually dropping while the corporate 1% increasing. They now have more cash than all of us put together.

We still have too many who need their noses rubbed in, to "smell the roses." But we are approaching critical mass, and it's looking up. What will hurt in the meantime is seeing discretionary income eaten up thru deliberate inflation, lack of production, and manipulation of the Fed.

 

[gunlaw]

I am awaiting primers much more so than loaded ammo. First there has to be inventory to buy of course, but I would start buying again at $40 a brick to replenish my stash. Maybe we will see some availability in a year?

I saw CCI LPP for $80.00/1000. Just couldn’t do it. But at least they had some. Haven’t seen any on the shelf in well over a year.

 

[LeftyRed]

I saw CCI LPP for $80.00/1000. Just couldn’t do it. But at least they had some. Haven’t seen any on the shelf in well over a year.

If they were SPP, I would be all over that! When prices steady, just like after the 22lr shortage, I figure they will be about $40-$45 per 1K brick.

For cheap steel case bulk 9mm, I know I will never see $90-$100 per 500 case again. Would start buying again when it’s around $150-$160 for a case of 500.

 

[GAF]

The good old days of the 100 round box of WWB for $11 are long gone. Actually been gone for a long time.
The last time I bought a gun they asked me if I wanted to buy some ammo to go with gun. My reply was" No I probably have more ammo than you do" S A answer I know.
I guess I will buy at whatever price they are asking when / If I ever need ammo.

 

[brewer12345]

I saw CCI LPP for $80.00/1000. Just couldn’t do it. But at least they had some. Haven’t seen any on the shelf in well over a year.

I'd pay that for a brick or two of SRP. That is the one flavor of primer I am low on and really did not stock more than a couple of bricks leading up to this nonsense. Don't shoot a whole lot of 223 so I never gave it much thought. The addition of 350 Legend to my reloading routine and the realization that they work just fine for SPP has made me interested in getting some more. When things calm down I will load the boat.

 

[Phydeaux642]

It won't get fixed until we nationalize China's ownership in American corporations and seize their real estate property holdings.

I've thought that needed done a very long time ago.

 

[huntsman]

9mm $15.00 for 50 fmj
.40S&W $16.00 for 50 fmj
.45acp $18.00 for 50 fmj
.556 about.20 cents a piece

 

[BCR#1]

Paying below what I can make it for would be the only reason to ever buy ammo of any caliber I shoot except .22

Bill

 

[Archie]

When my need for ammo/reloading-supplies grows to the point that the current market prices are deemed acceptable.

That sums it up.
Due to many factors, the cost of everything rises over time. Yes, some items do drop radically from the initial price due to manufacturing techniques (small home or personal electronic calculators, for those old enough to remember). Even prior to the panic of the last year or so, prices in 2018 - which were rather nice, at least to me - was much higher than what we grudgingly pain in the 1960s. The price of ammo and loading components has gone up.

Without a major - and likely painful - 'adjustment' to the economy, we shall never see $3.99 for a twenty round box of .30-06 Springfield. Not even for surplus (if such still exists).

I opine the current elevated price of ammunition and components is anachronistic and temporary. A combination of low production, high demand and low availability of local shipping. Not to mention those government powers controlled by those who fear and hate an armed citizenry. But this will change; probably not as quickly as any of 'us' want, but will change. Then as mentioned by MCB, prices in the (then) current market will stabilize and become 'normal'. No doubt it will be higher. But so will be income.

 

[tws3b2]

I expect prices will come down some. I think the biggest negative that will come out of all this in the long run will be all the American ammo makers will have to move out of the country or go out of business. I don't think they will be able to compete with all the cheap foreign ammo that has found their way into the country lately. Noticed on the shelf Wolf buckshot 5 for $5.99 next to Remington 5 for $8.49. People are not going to pay the higher price even if it's better which it's probably not. People talk American made but Not willing to pay the price. Just ask Walmart.