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Are those hard numbers from experience as a selling guns at retail or just hearsay?
Hard numbers from experience, I was management at a shop here for several years.
Thank you.
Knowing how hard it is to make a living on products at the 50% mark-up level its a wonder then that gun shops exist at all.
Doubling the gun costs I'd hoped for would severely reduce penetration in the population.
I would still contend that a small positive effect is better than spending money to no effect at all -- unless they can come up with something even more effective.
Towns considering changing their mindset on anti-crime might find that such a program was only viable vs a particularly large existing expenditure on multiple, useless anti-crime programs or vs the costs of hiring more police (especially if the likely applicant pool of competent police officers in their area is small).
In the case of dramatically higher gun costs and small, pre-existing anti-crime budgets the money might be most effectively used on advertising the legality of self-defense and presenting information about the effectiveness of CCW and hangun ownership vs. crime as a means of changing the overall community mindset. That such can be powerful is proven in a case I remember from some years ago ...
A serial killer was operating in one of the southern states (Mississippi or Louisiana perhaps?), and had killed often enough to create a considerable stir. The top police official of that area made a public statement about the investigation and reminded women that it was a "shall issue" state so they could carry a gun if they wanted to. The mere announcement that women
could arm themselves was sufficient to stop the killings.
Best case -- majority of law-abiding citizens armed and prepared to defend themselves.
Good case -- a noticeable fraction of law-abiding citizens armed and prepared to defend themselves.
OK Case #1 -- a portion of the most vulnerable law-abiding citizens armed and prepared to defend themselves.
OK Case #2 -- the community at large is consciously aware that they may arm themselves and defend themselves with support and encouragement from officialdom.
Worst Case -- the status-quo where money is spent uselessly on ineffective "anti-crime" measures which are useless at best and which actively discourage self-defense at worst.
Cost could make my program over-ambitious depending on the given municipality's current spending statue. But any step away from the worst case is a move in the right direction.