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What to expect in 2019

Discussion in 'Activism Discussion and Planning' started by hso, Dec 29, 2018.

  1. hso

    hso Moderator Staff Member

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    Firearm purchase age raised to 21 is my first guess. This will take place on the state level and there will be a play for the Fed as well. This will mesh "well" with the same restriction on handguns that is in place. There might be lawsuits, but they're fail because handguns are currently restricted to 21+.

    Trump Bump Stock Ban court challenges will move through the courts as lawsuits challenge the Trump ATF's ruling . It may move quickly since there are already suits filed. The ban is expected to fail since it won't be difficult to debunk the ATF's core contention.

    Several pointless Anti bills will go through the House and die in the Senate.
     
    Last edited: Dec 29, 2018
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  2. AlexanderA
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    AlexanderA Member

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    Most of it will be positioning for the 2020 election cycle.
     
  3. cheygriz

    cheygriz Member

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    I expect a lot of heat, but no light. Screams of anguish and gnashing of teeth from the antis, but no serious attempts to move their bills forward and lose one of their big issues before the 2020 elections.
     
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  4. AlexanderA
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    AlexanderA Member

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    Gun control may play well for Democrats in certain districts, but not nationally. To win the presidency, they must carry some combination of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Florida, Texas, and/or Arizona. All these were carried by Trump in the last election, and all have huge numbers of gun owners. In a close election, Democrats can't afford to alienate gun owners. I'm going to predict that they'll play down gun control nationally.
     
  5. cheygriz

    cheygriz Member

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    I hope you're right. But demographics are changing so rapidly, that Wisconsin, Florida, Pennsylvania and Az, at least, may well be blue by 2020.:(
     
  6. 1976B.L.Johns.

    1976B.L.Johns. Member

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    These are my thoughts also...........

    We must be diligent when 2020 comes around!
     
  7. CapnMac

    CapnMac Member

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    I fear that may understate the number of duplicate and contradictory House Bills that will be blizzarded about.

    All of them, as you point out astutely, will die in an indifferent Senate.
     
  8. 1976B.L.Johns.

    1976B.L.Johns. Member

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    Agreed.
     
  9. Jim Watson

    Jim Watson Member

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    That's a problem. The indifferent Senate is indifferent to its supposed constituency, just being partisan.
     
  10. P5 Guy

    P5 Guy Member

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    2019 will see much of the same obstruction that went on in 2017/18
    2020 is more worrisome.
     
  11. AlexanderA
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    AlexanderA Member

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    Legislatively, and on the federal level, that is correct. However, there will be landmark court decisions, regarding the bump stock ban, in 2019. That's going to be unavoidable, even if the ultimate decision is to uphold the ban.
     
  12. Zerodefect

    Zerodefect Member

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    Ohio just went blue.
     
  13. CapnMac

    CapnMac Member

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    I hear what you are saying. But, to be clear about my meaning, it is my presumption that the Senate will be more fully energized on full-house items like confirmations and the like, to much bother with noise from the House. That the Senate will be too engaged in its own power politics (partisan and otherwise) to have time to spare for the House.
     
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  14. GEM

    GEM Moderator Staff Member

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    State bans will continue to be passed if horrors occur. SCOTUS won't take the case despite Kavanaugh. If they do, watch out for a decision which in the grand scheme of things is negative to gun rights.

    Nothing will come out of Congress given the split. Watch out for Trump promulgating more antigun orders if something moves him to do that.

    In some progun states might be some small local progress on touching up their laws.

    More useless rhetoric or even counterproductive messaging from guess who.
     
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  15. rtroha

    rtroha Member

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    No it didn't. Except for Sherrod Brown being reelected to his senate seat, every single state office was won by a Republican and they still hold solid majorities in the legislature.
     
  16. hso

    hso Moderator Staff Member

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    As expected an UBC bill shows up in the House, which will never be agreed upon by the Senate, and the 2019 AWB, in even more over the top than 2018 or 2017 or ..., pops up in the Senate.

    Neither have a snowball's chance in the Sahara, but that isn't the point of extremist anti proposals. They're fielded for propaganda purposes. Hopefully 19AWB never gets enough support to get to a floor vote in the Senate.
     
  17. paulsj

    paulsj Member

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    You can add Va and Nc to that list.
    The goal will be to accomplish nothing and at the same time do everything not to have Trump re-elected. You can expect anti-gun agenda get "legs" after 2020 election.
     
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