nightcrawler said:
Agree: highest probability is that coup will take place (or forced exile agreement).
Second most likely scenario...Saddam will be caught travelling, his motorcade will be turned to a cinder, by smart ordnance. Elapsed time: 30 seconds. Assuming the watchers (satellite, predator, ground intel) are now in place, the start date will be determined more by *when* they can get a high confidence shot, rather than strategic considerations, troop placement, moon phase, etc.
The big question, following SH's departure, will be who will fill the power vacuum?
Saddam's generals are getting nervous. They're probably looking around, thinking "do I really want to die for this jerk?"
Agree: highest probability is that coup will take place (or forced exile agreement).
Second most likely scenario...Saddam will be caught travelling, his motorcade will be turned to a cinder, by smart ordnance. Elapsed time: 30 seconds. Assuming the watchers (satellite, predator, ground intel) are now in place, the start date will be determined more by *when* they can get a high confidence shot, rather than strategic considerations, troop placement, moon phase, etc.
The big question, following SH's departure, will be who will fill the power vacuum?