Self Perpetuating
Well, it's pretty simple:
Gun grabber (by his voting record and past rhetoric) gets elected.
Folks who have taken the "wait and see" approach now realize that they have "seen" that for which they were "waiting."
Having not taken sensible precautions while there was still plenty of time, good prices, and all the availability you want, they now "realize" things may change.
They decide to hurry up and get "something" before "everything" is bought.
Brilliant plan. They, and half a million of their closest friends, all head to the store on the same day. What a freaking shock that is.
From that point forward is a "regenerative feedback loop" of buying.
A spike in buying (brought on by a simple failure to plan) causes increased demand and a reduction in supply which causes an increase in price which increases anxiety and sends a wave of perception that "we're running out" which leads to more buying, increased demand, decreased supply, and so on.
You know, there are people who, a year ago, saw this as a possibility, and took measures while prices were good, order lead times were normal, and bargains were there for the taking. There were people who shopped the ammo sales and hunted down the good magazines and got that extra rifle they figured would be good to have.
Then there are the opportunists who, when it looked bad, showed up at the local stores and bought -- I kid you not -- every remaining AK on the shelf, hoping to turn a profit from the ensuing panic.
Regenerative feedback.
As supplies dried up, people placed back orders, figuring that, even with a delay they still get theirs in time. Which added to the perception that "everything's gone" and increased anxiety.
Where I live, the racks have been pretty picked over, but there's still stuff there. There are still 1,000-round cases at reasonable prices, and one dealer had been steadily buying Colt magazines (20 & 30 rounders) for the last year, so HE has plenty for sale. And he hasn't raised his prices. His take: "I've got to take care of my customers, these guys depend on me."
Most of the stores here are pretty laconic about it. "Yup, we've had a lot of worried customers. Yup, supplies are down. Yup, gotta wait for new stock. Yup, same price as last month. Except for ammo -- distributors are raising prices on that. But hey, I've got five cases here at the old price, you want some of that?"
I continue to be amazed at people who should be able to figure out how it will be and who nonetheless waited for the cliff.
Talked to a fella couple days ago. "Look at these fools. I got what I needed months and months ago. Now these morons are driving up prices for all of us."
Well, I guess I can't tell you to relax.
But, damn, guys.
Look a little farther into the future. Really.
Okay?