statistics around guns and gun violence

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I dont believe that anti gunners simply want to destroy your 2a rights for the fun of it or simply to be in control. I do believe that they believe they are fixing a problem - that of gun violence. Many libs on daily kos support a RKBA section. They are trying to figure out how to solve the gun violence problem without banning guns.

You need to understand the difference between the anti-gun crowd and the non-gun crowd. The latter are the bulk of Americans who do not have any interest in shooting, do not wish to own a gun themselves, hurt inside when they read of tragedy, but do not personally desire to take away guns. This group is the prize, they are the ones we need to sway with sound arguments rooted in logic.

The true anti-gun crowd often cite violence reduction as a reason or goal, but it is not their actual motivation. They hate guns, they hate gun owners, and they absolutely want to take them away from everyone. These people will lie & cheat, skew statistics, dance on the graves of recently deceased children-whatever it takes. For the real anti-gunner, the ends will always justify the means, and their only goal is total disarmament of lawful gun owners. Don't they give a rat's patoot about the dead, least of all the young urban black men who are most likely to fall victim to violence.

Ever notice how the daily death toll in the decrepit cities goes almost completely ignored by the antis, but the instant any "mass shooting" happens, a heart wrenching event but a statistical anomaly, they are all over it like flies on poo? That's because 20 kindergarteners slaughtered by a white lunatic who stole a family member's legal gun serves their interest far more than the thousands of young black men offing each other with illegal weapons annually.

I think that they also dont want to talk about the elephant in the room but believe that banning guns will enable them to avoid talking about the elephant in the room.

They know full well it won't fix the problem. Once in a while they'll make that claim when addressing their voter base, but the liberals have 90% of the black vote locked down, and they know they won't sway the other 10%. Their target is white suburbia.

I participate at dailykos and many genuinely believe that pro 2a people are racists, want guns to protect themselves against african americans and support the 2a except for african americans.

I'm not familiar with dailykos, but I can tell you that compiling this data will not convince them otherwise. If anything, your OP came across as bigoted.

Best thing to do is not throw racial statistics down, but to counter their beliefs with genuine, articulate arguments. Take my position, for example: Do I want guns in the hands of inner city black (or other race) youth gang members? Of course not. No one in their right mind thinks a 16 year old thug carrying a stolen handgun has a thing to do with RKBA. Do I have any problem with a black man (not kid, not thug, man) legitimately owning a gun for any lawful purpose, including self defense? Of course I don't. Quite the opposite, in fact, and while I've never known an underage gang member, I do personally know several responsible adult black males who are gun owners, and I enjoy talking weapons and shooting on the range with them just as much as anyone else.

Among the black community, moreso than white or others, firearms are used criminally with far greater frequency. As well, the percentage of black sportsmen and target shooters is far, far lower than white. This colors their perspective on gun ownership and use differently; they see the gun as something that is used almost exclusively in the killing their young black men by other young black men. It is not an easy perception to change, and you're certainly not going to do it with statistics-especially if you're white. Truthfully, the more enlightened black men who try are, more often then not, ostracized, labeled uncle toms and race traitors.

I don't have the answer, but I can tell you that this approach isn't it.

Some here have suggested that poverty is the issue and I would love to see data showing why it actually is the case.

Look over the same data sets you have been, but instead of breaking it down by race, break it down by age, income level and location. You will find that people of any race who live in impoverished communities face much greater rates of crime and violence than those who do not. A 17 year old kid in Detroit, regardless of his race, has a much higher probability of being involved in fights, committing crime, being arrested, and even being killed than another 17 year old boy who lives in a middle class suburban neighborhood.

Sure, terrible crimes happen in affluent communities, too, and there are plenty of "bad apple" kids in suburbia. But when a child grows up in a house with two parents who provide him with everything he could ever need and then some, push him to excel, when he goes to a school where a teacher actually notices his absence, he has a much lower risk than the child who has had to endure living in run-down, government subsidized housing with a couple of older half-brothers and a mother on welfare, dad nowhere to be found, school a secondary concern to finding a way to keep clothes on his back and food in his mouth. Some of these kids turn to criminal activities because the pay is far better than a minimum wage job across town, others turn to the gangs because they really don't have a family of their own. The reasons are many, the results are inevitable.

As far as the use of wikipedia, Im just crunching the raw numbers posted. The citations go to the CDC and census bureau, if it is really an issue Id be happy to corroborate the #s. But I doubt that they are far off.

Just remember that nobody is going to take you seriuosly if you cite Wikipedia as a source.


The purpose of this post was to generate a discussion around how to actually reduce gun violence which also happens to be what the anti gunners want too. Their method is to ban them, what is your strategy?

Back to the beginning here. Never, ever forget that it is the bleeding heart non-gunner who wants to see violence reduced. The anti-gunner couldn't care less. Even if the violence were to increase in the wake of a ban (which other nations have shown that is exactly what happens), they would still sit back with a poo-eating grin on their face, satisfied with themselves for having accomplished their goal..........which was never about saving lives.
 
Their method is to ban them, what is your strategy?

Presumes at least a couple of dubious propositions: there is a solution, someone ought to come up with it, and then quite likely ought to impose the solution on everyone else.

The evidence is that more strict gun laws do not reduce the homicide rate. Therefore, all states could adjust their gun laws to be similar to those of Wyoming or Utah, we could repeal the Lautenburg Amendment, institute nationwide concealed carry reciprocity, and the homicide situation would be no worse than it is now. All other factors equal, more liberty is better.

Guns are not the problem. But it is a lot easier to attach the sins of society on an inanimate object such as a firearm or a 30 round magazine than it is to admit that government social engineering has fostered violent, irresponsible, uneducated pockets in our society and to go to work on those failed policies.
 
And of the 18 states with gun murders per 100,000 above 3.0, most all of them are south of the Mason-Dixon line, in "red" states.

So....
 
And of the 18 states with gun murders per 100,000 above 3.0, most all of them are south of the Mason-Dixon line, in "red" states.

So....

Which, incidentally, have lower overall income and higher percentages of the population living in poverty.

Alaska is really the only anomalous state when it comes to the violence/demographic/socioeconomic correlation. But then, Alaska is vastly different from the lower 48 in many, many ways-practically a whole different nation.
 
I'm being snarky. I agree with you, hso and taliv.

You can take those murders per 100,000 and cross-reference for any number of variables -- teen pregnancy rates, high school dropout rates, childhood immunizations, income, housing cost, highest educational attainment, Obama voters, Romney voters, Republican or Democrat controlled state legislatures, shall-issue states, may-issue states, etc.
 
I think most people would agree that what you are researching is culture, not race. It is unlikely that melanin content affects gun crime. However, it would be obvious that culture could. Skin pigmentation may be a proxy for culture, and and improved thesis could be developed by identifying exact portions of culture that affect the outcome and looking for heterogeneity in the population understudy for that facet.


Studies in education support this. I can't remember what TV show I was watching, but they were comparing academic achievement in the US, and whether race or culture had an influence, as some races were known for doing better, while others seemed to lag behind in school. The gist of the study suggested that children whose parents are recent immigrants from countries with cultures that value education highly tended to do much better in school, and were driven by their parents and the desire by students have teh prestige of doing well within their communities. The children of immigrants with cultures more focused on agriculture seemed to not do as well because the culture valued manual labor and agriculture much more than education in math and science. The interesting part of the study was that children of African immigrants scored among the highest with Asians and eastern Europeans while, while blacks raised in integrated middle class families showed no statistical distinction between them and average middle class white kids. Blacks raised in segregated neighborhoods did the poorest of all groups. Criminal activity is a behavior and not genetic or racial. It's pretty hard to separate behavior from the values of a culture.
 
And of the 18 states with gun murders per 100,000 above 3.0, most all of them are south of the Mason-Dixon line, in "red" states.

So....

The interesting thing is that murders or gun murders do not correlate as well with poverty as they do with the racial makeup (I agree it is probably culture).

I think people parroting the it is poverty line are doing just that. I would definitely be interested to see alternate ways of looking at poverty. My simple analysis just took poverty rates by state and correlated them to murders and gun murders. The correlation was at .51 which is to say not correlated. The correlation to percent by race is .81.

I suspect that there are no academics which would touch this third rail and they default to looking at poverty.
 
Ok, so what's the solution?

Using "culture" as an arguement is a fools endeavor. History has proven that "whites" are far more violent than most others. Sounds pretty liberal, but in the grand scheme of things, when it comes to death, nobody does it like whites.

If that data was disected and broken down by individual cases instead of a lump of numbers, the info would contain a clearer picture. I don't condone murder but I would bet that MOST of the victims of black on black homicides aren't necissarily Pillars of the community.
For example, I have a pretty low chance of a home invasion. If I decided to sell dope my odds may skyrocket exponentially. Or sleep with another mans wife so on and so forth.

There is no reasonable solution for this. The only solution would be extreme and would hurt everyone.

In a country of over 300 million people, from all over the world representing almost every race, culture and religion a few murders a year is expected.
 
First of all, mega-kudos to the mods for letting this conversation take place at all. A thorough airing of this subject is long overdue here at THR.
By the way, does anyone have any statistics on where the highest (non-hispanic) white-on-white gun crime numbers happen in the United States?
 
Using "culture" as an arguement is a fools endeavor. History has proven that "whites" are far more violent than most others. Sounds pretty liberal, but in the grand scheme of things, when it comes to death, nobody does it like whites.

i have no idea what you're talking about.
 
i have no idea what you're talking about.

Assuming the OP is talking about disproportionate statistics amongst American blacks which he is, and stating that there may be cultural difference as the cause is non-sensical.

Just because one is black or white doesn't negate the fact they live in the same country, speak the same language and go to the same schools. My culture is closer to an American black than a native Somolians.
 
First of all, mega-kudos to the mods for letting this conversation take place at all.

I 2nd that!

It is tough to address culture by anyone who does not originate from the culture. In order to "fix" a culture it must be lead from leadership from within. When you are born into, and grow up in any community, you tend to be a continuation of it. If you are told, from the time your are born, that every hardship, failure or injustice you suffer is the result of another group of people, you tend to hate those people, whether you know them or not. If everybody around you believes that certain behaviors are "cool", and give you standing in your community, and that the negative consequences of those behaviors are somebody else's fault, you tend to escalate those behaviors. If you are raised being told that another group of people has stolen everything from your parents and grandparents, you tend to think those people owe you something. If you are ridiculed and belittled for getting educated, being responsible and law abiding, and working in honored professions deemed to be "the enemy", you are not inclined to hang around the same neighborhood and improve it when you shed that culture in favor of a more productive life. However your are raised as a child, and with whatever values you see from those around you, you tend to see are "normal" when you become an adult.

It was so sad to see Bill Cosby fall, when he was one of the few who put the blame and repsonsibility on the culture and what need to be done to "fix" it, while those who peddle hate and blame towards other races become WhiteHouse advisors.
 
Statistics and intelligent opinions are great for dissecting issues, but in the end, nothing changes. Such as statistics showing more crimes of violence occur among the poor can't be taken as a flat truth. Just to touch the surface of a statistic begs further digging. Like why are the poor, poor. If they are a distinct race or culture or group, what is it that makes them poor. Does that statistic show that the poor are more evil and therefor make up a large percentage of offenders? Or are we only speaking of victims who are poor and find themselves among the poor offenders, which again brings us back to the evil factor. Does poverty change a man's heart? Can he be less compassionate toward his neighbor because he's poor?

Personally, I believe poverty is self induced, and that crime is motivated by the degradation of the heart. I further believe that (generally speaking) the ONLY producer of violent crime within any group is vileness. I don't believe a man born into poverty and violence is any more likely to commit violent offences than anyone else. It is the individual that creates violence. The offender is self justified in his actions. He's placed his wisdom and justification above the law and morality. A group, culture or race that are statistically and consistently the worst offenders, are simply collective individuals of a similar vileness. Of course the politicians and liberals and the ignorant will always give the collective criminals the poverty excuse, or the "no-chance in society" excuse, which does not stand the test of reason and certainly won't mean a thing when the guilty face the ultimate judgment.
 
I think people parroting the it is poverty line are doing just that.

Call it whatever you like, but higher crime rates among impoverished demographics/locations are a fact. Income (or lack thereof) certainly isn't the only factor, but it is a significant one. A kid with parents who can afford to buy him new sneakers, clothing, Iphone, a car, etc. is a whole lot less likely to steal or sling dope than the one who's single mother has him and his 3 siblings by 3 different men living in government subsidized housing in a crime ridden neighborhood, feeding the family on food stamps, and either holding down a minimum wage job or living on welfare.

I'm not making excuses for criminal behavior, just pointing out that it is easy to see why one demographic is a lot more susceptible to the allure of crime than the other.

Using "culture" as an arguement is a fools endeavor. History has proven that "whites" are far more violent than most others. Sounds pretty liberal, but in the grand scheme of things, when it comes to death, nobody does it like whites

Except that the focus here is not on genocidal dictators or monarchs. We're talking about the citizenry, the average Joes. Yes, white Adolf Hitler murdered more people in a decade than all of the homicides, motor vehicle accidents and casualties of war the USA has suffered in more than a century. And that's just one despotic, homicidal regime (not all of them are Caucasion, BTW). But government sponsored genocide/democide are not part of crime statistics as they pertain to a population.

Personally, I believe poverty is self induced, and that crime is motivated by the degradation of the heart. I further believe that (generally speaking) the ONLY producer of violent crime within any group is vileness. I don't believe a man born into poverty and violence is any more likely to commit violent offences than anyone else.

I'm a firm believer that we all have the freedom to make our choices and the responsibility to live with them, but that statement is just plain ignorant. Yes, in this nation, there are opportunities for pretty much everyone. But some will have to work much, much harder before those opportunities become available to them. Do you not see a difference between the wealthy kid who can pretty much screw around all through school because his parents will pay the way for a state university and a kid from the ghetto who will have to absolutely bust his ass to earn a scholarship just to have a chance at attending that university?

The nature vs. nurture debate is outside the scope of THR, but to suggest that the environment a person grows up in will not influence them is beyond ludicrous.
 
if someone wants to start a very specific on topic thread to continue, feel free
 
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