Top 9 states with best brady score, plus 9 states with lowest brady score. Score in ( ) represents ranking based on rank for most violent crime. If gun control works, the 'top 10' for gun control should be the 'bottom 10' for violence...or close to it.
http://www.census.gov/statab/ranks/rank21.html
I was originally going to do 5, but too many ties in the brady scoring system, 10 didn't work out well either, however top 9 did, and is very close to top 10 without letting too many ties skew it.
Including a 3rd number, poverty ranking (low = poverty) in {}
If poverty is a good predictor of violent crime, the () number should be close to the {} number
http://www.census.gov/acs/www/Products/Ranking/2003/R01T040.htm
1 CALIFORNIA (10) {19}
2 NEW JERSEY (26) {47}
3 CONNECTICUT (34) {49}
4 MASSACHUSETTS (18) {44}
5 MARYLAND (3) {48}
6 NEW YORK (21) {18}
7 RHODE ISLAND (40) {27}
8 HAWAII (39) {31}
9 ILLINOIS (11) {27}
42 MISSISSIPPI (32) {2}
T-43 ALASKA (7) {41}
T-43 MISSOURI (16) {23}
T-43 NORTH DAKOTA (50) {23}
T-43 UTAH (43) (35}
T-43 WEST VIRGINIA (36) {5}
T-48 KENTUCKY (41) {6}
T-48 LOUISIANA (6) {1}
T-48 OKLAHOMA (14) {9}
Just FYI, the worst state for violence is Brady ranked 27 (middle of the road), South Carolina, while 2nd worst for violence, Florida, has relatively loose gun laws with a score of 36. However, D.C. is twice as bad as South Carolina, and they'd have a Brady rank of 1 if they were included {and D.C. ranks 2 in poverty, with the 2 violent states of South Carolina and Florida being 13 and 21}
North Dakota, safest, made Brady's list of worst 10, while Maine, 2nd safest hit right in the middle of the Brady list.
{regarding poverty, the two least poverty stricken states are New Hampshire and Minnesota, both being right in the middle as far as gun control, and both scoring quite well in low violence with a 47 and a 38
High Gun Control top 10 has 2 very safe (being generous with Hawaii's 39) while Low Gun Control has 3.5 very safe (giving a nod to Virgina's 36)
High Gun Control has 3 badly unsafe (treating the 11 the same as I did the 39) while Low Gun Control has 2.5 badly unsafe (treating that 14 as I did the 36)
clearly with that spread of numbers, it is SOMETHING ELSE UNRELATED TO FIREARMS that seems to be the key to predicting violence. Poverty? Ethnic Make-up? Single Parent Families? School Funding? Most likely some combination of factors
Including a 3rd number, poverty rate, in {} Obviously, it doesn't fair much better, with poor, violent Louisiana, and almost as poor but much safer Mississippi both with very low rates of gun control.
I probably should have started with the 9 most violent and 9 least violent, the placed brady rank and poverty rank next to them. Maybe someone else can run those numbers.